Tag Archives: opinion polls
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Why you must watch the #election2019 exit poll result at 10pm tonight
2December 12, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
At 9:59pm, a lot of people will think they might have a chance at Downing Street. One minute later, they …
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How the YouGov MRP poll changed this election
Leave a commentDecember 9, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
The YouGov MRP poll released two weeks ago appears to have massively influenced the election campaign. It may have led …
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YouGov poll predicts a hung Parliament – could it be right?
Leave a commentJune 1, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Polling is a dangerous business. No-one predicted the Conservatives’ majority in 2015 and the EU Referendum result came as a …
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Does a political earthquake await in Wales?
Leave a commentApril 30, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
With thanks to Professor Roger Scully from Cardiff University, I have some strange readings from the political Richter scale to report …
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Interesting initial statistics on voting behaviour at the 2015 General Election
Leave a commentMay 18, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Using Lord Ashcroft’s post-election polling and comparing with previous voting statistics gives us some interesting findings. Summary Conservatives’ previously large …
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YouGov Poll has a different prediction. Sounds more right, but might not be.
Leave a commentMay 7, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Just when the Twittersphere was about to go into meltdown with rumours of a Labour coup to get rid of …
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Conservatives most seats, coalition impossible. Current poll predictions analysed.
Leave a commentMarch 29, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
You may be confused, given the forecast at the moment is for the Labour and Conaervative share of the vote …
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It is constituency polls, not national polls , that matter for the Liberal Democrats.
Leave a commentFebruary 27, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
In recent weeks Ryan Coetzee, the Liberal Democrats’ director of strategy, has commissioned private polling from Survation in 100 marginal …
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Let’s hear it for the “Shy Tories”
1January 25, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Why do different amounts of people vote Conservative as the number that tell polls they are going to? Those who …
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If Scotland’s polls are right, chaos ensues at Westminster in May
6November 1, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
The political world is agog at Thursday’s poll numbers from Scotland. Commentators are trying to assess whether they are a …
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