Tag Archives: UKIP

  1. What your choice means at this election

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    June 8, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    I am an unashamed centrist. I vote for what works. It gets me into ‘trouble’ with people who have far …
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  2. UKIP’s Brexit tests – any negotiation is too much

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    May 27, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    The launch of the UKIP manifesto was a chance for us to see them put the details on what being …
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  3. Why the Progressive Pact may need to be fact.

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    May 12, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    Two days ago I reported details of a tacit ‘reactionary pact’ in which UKIP voters were defecting to the Tories …
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  4. UKIP haven’t died. They’ve won.

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    May 10, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    In amongst the possibly genuinely held joy of many on the centre and left of politics at the fall of …
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  5. What the council elections mean for #ge2017

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    May 6, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    Tom Newton Dunn, Political Editor of The Sun, reported on Thursday that a Senior Tory had told him that he …
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  6. Does a political earthquake await in Wales?

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    April 30, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    With thanks to Professor Roger Scully from Cardiff University, I have some strange readings from the political Richter scale to report …
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  7. How the British election system could come to Labour’s aid.

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    April 25, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    Predictions for Labour are dire. With no real position on Brexit, and one of the most unpopular mainstream Party leaders …
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  8. Six reasons why the 2017 General Election is so hard to predict

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    April 20, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    So, the vote to overturn the Fixed Term Parliament Act and call a General Election passed with barely a murmur …
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  9. Why new participants in politics need to listen more.

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    September 21, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Speaking this week to the Press Gazette, Ian Hislop, the editor of satirical magazine Private Eye and star of BBC’s …
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  10. A government imposing austerity backed by 24% of the electorate is a legitimate as 250,000 people marching against it

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    June 24, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

       Last weekend (20th June) there was an anti-austerity march in Central London. It was reported variously that 250,000 people …
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  11. Why we are unlikely to get a change in election system

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    May 17, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

     The problems with trying to get a referendum on changing the election system (the way in which votes are …
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  12. Farage is back – good or bad for UKIP?

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    May 14, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    So, Nigel Farage is back. Already. Despite the media’s spluttering over it being a “backtrack” on his promise to resign …
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  13. First Past the Post – Disproportional Representation or Producer of stable government?

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    May 11, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

     Let’s start with the two graphs above. On the left are the actual seats won. One the right are …
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  14. 5 Midnight thoughts after the three Sunderland results. 

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    May 7, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    1) The Pope is Catholic and Labour have won three seats in Sunderland. 2) The good news for Labour is …
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  15. It’s polling day! – Five things to know about today

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    May 7, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    1. Rules for the poll booth – For those of you for whom today is your first opportunity to vote, congratulations, …
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  16. UKIP’s manifesto – plans relying completely on the counter-factual

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    April 17, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    What I have liked about UKIP’s contribution to British politics over the past few years has been the effect that …
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  17. UKIP should understand that cutting foreign aid will INCREASE health tourism

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    April 7, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    During last week’s leaders’ debate we saw the launch of what UKIP insiders have called a ‘shock and awful’ strategy …
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  18. The leaders’ debate. How they rated. 

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    April 3, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    So that was the mass debate (stop saying it quickly at the back). Seven adults shouting at each other repeating …
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  19. Conservatives most seats, coalition impossible. Current poll predictions analysed.

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    March 29, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    You may be confused, given the forecast at the moment is for the Labour and Conaervative share of the vote …
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  20. Nothing can be ruled out when it comes to post-election deals

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    March 28, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

     A few weeks ago, the Conservatives released a poster by their advertising agency containing a large Alex Salmond with Ed …
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  21. Unrealistic targets are not the way to deal with the politics of immigration

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    March 5, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Talk to people around the country about immigration, and they will say that it is a really important topic for …
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  22. UKIP: The first hundred days – lazy, ignorant and vacuous broadcasting

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    February 20, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    About 6 years’ ago, whilst on playground duty, I was approached by a year 11 (equivalent to a fifth former …
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  23. Successfully bashing the Conservatives is not necessarily a successful week for Labour

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    February 17, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    At first glance, it looks like Labour had a very good week last week. Starting off by pointing out the …
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  24. The development of a ‘Left-Wing bloc’ could spell curtains for Cameron

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    January 28, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    It must be lonely being David Cameron these days. As the furore over the TV debates show, we are developing …
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  25. UK Party leader debates….it’s just not how our democracy works

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    January 27, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    That the Party leader debates should happen seems to be obvious to everyone. But a closer look at what they …
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  26. Amjad Bashir – time for political parties to do a lot more research on defectors

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    January 26, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Political parties love defections. They say to the public, the parties think, that the defector is so ridden with doubt …
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  27. Why David Cameron wants the Green Party in the TV debates

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    January 12, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    It isn’t very difficult to understand why David Cameron has insisted that he won’t be involved in the planned TV …
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  28. Four possible election outcomes and what they would mean

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    January 10, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Towards the end of last year the pollster Peter Kellner from YouGov set out in The Times four possible results …
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  29. Conservative victory could hinge on whether Labour voters hate UKIP more than they love Labour

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    January 8, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Here’s an interesting concept to get your head around. What are the chances of diehard Labour supporters voting Conservative for …
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  30. Wales 2015 Part 1 – As you were

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    January 2, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Whereas Scotland’s 2015 results could change the course of the 2015 General election result, the results from Wales will not. …
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  31. 2015 New Year Politics Prediction….impossible!

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    January 1, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Happy New Year everyone. Welcome to what promises to be one of the most memorable years of politics of our …
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  32. The prospect of Labour winning has Conservatives starting to build up funds for a quick second election

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    December 28, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Some interesting gossip emanating from Conservative HQ is that they have started to solicit donations to fund a second election …
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  33. The most significant tactical vote move may be from Green to Labour

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    December 26, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Tactical voting has often been seen as a stick to beat First Past the Post with. That people are forced …
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  34. Labour immigration policy cannot exist without offering an EU referendum

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    December 23, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    The Labour Party is undergoing convulsions on the topic of immigration this week. First, Ed Miliband gave what he had …
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  35. “Septimana horibilis” for UKIP? Or just what we have to come to expect?

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    December 17, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    What a week UKIP have had. Any other political party would have collapsed under the ridicule that they have brought …
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  36. We need to pass every policy announcement from now on through the ‘Coalition lens’

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    December 7, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Bearing in mind their financial need to get things right, it is interesting to see that there isn’t a single …
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  37. Cameron needs to take on his party’s own Militant Tendency

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    December 1, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    30 years ago today, the Labour Party were engaged in an existential struggle against a group of ideologues who were …
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  38. The farcical use of “tolerance” as a reason to cancel a political debate involving UKIP at UEA

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    November 30, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    The most depressing thing about the story (click here) of students at the University of East Anglia coming together to …
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  39. You want the truth on immigration? You can’t handle the truth.

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    November 28, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Owen Paterson – a Conservative MP who used to the Environment Secretary, gave a speech this week in which he …
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  40. The crack up of the Lib Dem vote is why UKIP and SNP will NOT want to go into government

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    November 27, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    It was, almost, apocalypse for the Liberal Democrats in Rochester and Strood. Geoff Juby, their candidate in the by-election, got …
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  41. If UKIP learn how to play the FPTP election system properly it could make 20 seats’ difference

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    November 26, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Whilst he was lauding UKIP’s victories in the Clacton and Rochester & Strood by-elections, I couldn’t help noticing a not …
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  42. Combatting UKIP over policies..the lack of them and the flip-flops

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    November 25, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    It’s time to dump this “UKIP are right, don’t vote for them” strategy. We are getting near to the day …
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  43. UKIP are getting Labour voters who are ‘left-behind’, not ‘left-wing’

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    November 24, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    In the 1970s, some changes started to take place in terms of how businesses operate. Globalisation took root, and the …
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  44. Rochester may go Reckless, but it means very little

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    November 18, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    So this morning the constituents of Rochester and Strood go to the ballot box in a by-election to choose an …
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  45. The 2016 General Election – what it will look like

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    November 18, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Yes, that isn’t a typo. I do mean that I am expecting there to be a 2016 General Election. Our …
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  46. Nigel Farage wants his country back. To what extent?

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    November 14, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Journalists love Nigel Farage for a simple reason – he gives good copy. He says what he believes and isn’t …
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  47. The European Arrest Warrant (EAW) is worth the small decrease in our sovereignty

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    October 31, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    How much is a small decrease in our sovereignty worth? I would like to answer that with some statistics about …
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  48. EU must be having a laugh with your ‘prosperity surcharge’

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    October 25, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    How kind of the EU commission to write UKIP’s party political broadcast for the Rochester & Stroud by-election. Not even …
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  49. Winning on immigration will not win elections. Fact.

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    October 21, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    It’s all a bit odd. The Conservatives seem to think that they will win the next election by talking a …
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  50. Cameron sinks deeper into EU mess.

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    October 21, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Any chance that there is a by-election on soon? Why else would David Cameron spend today shaking his fist at …
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