Tag Archives: VOTING BEHAVIOUR

  1. Winning in Putney and losing in Durham North West sums up the failures of Labour’ campaign.

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    December 13, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith

    Among the many results in this election that showed how Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn have redrawn the electoral landscape …
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  2. Do politicians lie because no voter wants to hear the truth?

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    December 12, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith

    Until voters are prepared to hear the unvarnished truth, politicians would be irrational to give it to them. We will …
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  3. The surprise University turnout explained

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    June 16, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    Hidden amongst the wailing and gnashing of teeth within the Conservative Party at the incompetence and arrogance of Theresa May …
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  4. The strange case of the misplaced new voters

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    June 6, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    When the voter registration deadline closed it turned out that three million people registered to vote for the 2017 General …
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  5. Lifelong Labour voters are switching to Theresa May, not the Conservatives

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    May 22, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    As journalists have been traipsing around the country covering the election, they have come across a particularly interesting potential voting …
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  6. Interesting initial statistics on voting behaviour at the 2015 General Election

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    May 18, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Using Lord Ashcroft’s post-election polling and comparing with previous voting statistics gives us some interesting findings. Summary  Conservatives’ previously large …
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  7. Why Labour should be spending a lot more time attacking Tory efficiency than Tory cruelty

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    April 5, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    The advertising guru Maurice Saatchi noted, just after the shock election victory by the Conservatives in 1992, that ‘cruel but …
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  8. Will the shy Tories lead them to a Likud-like victory?

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    March 24, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    A few weeks ago I wrote about the concept of the “shy Tory”. These are the members of the electorate …
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  9. It is constituency polls, not national polls , that matter for the Liberal Democrats.

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    February 27, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    In recent weeks Ryan Coetzee, the Liberal Democrats’ director of strategy, has commissioned private polling from Survation in 100 marginal …
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  10. Let’s hear it for the “Shy Tories”

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    January 25, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Why do different amounts of people vote Conservative as the number that tell polls they are going to? Those who …
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  11. Conservative victory could hinge on whether Labour voters hate UKIP more than they love Labour

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    January 8, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Here’s an interesting concept to get your head around. What are the chances of diehard Labour supporters voting Conservative for …
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  12. The most significant tactical vote move may be from Green to Labour

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    December 26, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Tactical voting has often been seen as a stick to beat First Past the Post with. That people are forced …
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  13. Rochester may go Reckless, but it means very little

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    November 18, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    So this morning the constituents of Rochester and Strood go to the ballot box in a by-election to choose an …
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  14. If Scotland’s polls are right, chaos ensues at Westminster in May

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    November 1, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    The political world is agog at Thursday’s poll numbers from Scotland. Commentators are trying to assess whether they are a …
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  15. Winning on immigration will not win elections. Fact.

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    October 21, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    It’s all a bit odd. The Conservatives seem to think that they will win the next election by talking a …
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  16. Have we just discovered that the NHS is a Westminster bubble issue but not a voting issue

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    October 14, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Amongst the fall-out from the astonishing performance of UKIP on Thursday in the Heywood and Middleton by-election, it is possible …
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  17. Why are the Conservatives so happy about a set of policies that victimise the poorest so much?

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    October 3, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    As the smoke clears from the pep rally that this week’s Conservative party conference basically turned out to be, a …
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  18. The ‘hidden voters’ could make a mockery of the opinion polls in the Scottish referendum

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    July 15, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Two months before the 2011 Scottish Assembly election, opinion polls put the Labour Party 15% ahead of Alex Salmond’s SNP. …
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  19. Newark by-election result: An ungracious winner, a relieved loser

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    June 6, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    So there we go – the Conservatives won the Newark by-election. They retained their 44th safest seat, a seat in …
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  20. Newark by-election: Why does it matter so much to the Conservatives?

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    June 4, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    In the 2010 General Election, Patrick Mercer got 54% of the vote in his Newark constituency, winning by over 16,000 …
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  21. UKIP and Local Council election results – what do they mean

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    May 23, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    There is no doubt UKIP has had a great night at the local council elections. There is no surprise that …
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