Tag Archives: VOTING BEHAVIOUR
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Winning in Putney and losing in Durham North West sums up the failures of Labour’ campaign.
1December 13, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
Among the many results in this election that showed how Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn have redrawn the electoral landscape …
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Do politicians lie because no voter wants to hear the truth?
1December 12, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
Until voters are prepared to hear the unvarnished truth, politicians would be irrational to give it to them. We will …
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The surprise University turnout explained
Leave a commentJune 16, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Hidden amongst the wailing and gnashing of teeth within the Conservative Party at the incompetence and arrogance of Theresa May …
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The strange case of the misplaced new voters
3June 6, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
When the voter registration deadline closed it turned out that three million people registered to vote for the 2017 General …
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Lifelong Labour voters are switching to Theresa May, not the Conservatives
Leave a commentMay 22, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
As journalists have been traipsing around the country covering the election, they have come across a particularly interesting potential voting …
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Interesting initial statistics on voting behaviour at the 2015 General Election
Leave a commentMay 18, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Using Lord Ashcroft’s post-election polling and comparing with previous voting statistics gives us some interesting findings. Summary Conservatives’ previously large …
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Why Labour should be spending a lot more time attacking Tory efficiency than Tory cruelty
Leave a commentApril 5, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
The advertising guru Maurice Saatchi noted, just after the shock election victory by the Conservatives in 1992, that ‘cruel but …
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Will the shy Tories lead them to a Likud-like victory?
Leave a commentMarch 24, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
A few weeks ago I wrote about the concept of the “shy Tory”. These are the members of the electorate …
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It is constituency polls, not national polls , that matter for the Liberal Democrats.
Leave a commentFebruary 27, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
In recent weeks Ryan Coetzee, the Liberal Democrats’ director of strategy, has commissioned private polling from Survation in 100 marginal …
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Let’s hear it for the “Shy Tories”
1January 25, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Why do different amounts of people vote Conservative as the number that tell polls they are going to? Those who …
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Conservative victory could hinge on whether Labour voters hate UKIP more than they love Labour
Leave a commentJanuary 8, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Here’s an interesting concept to get your head around. What are the chances of diehard Labour supporters voting Conservative for …
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The most significant tactical vote move may be from Green to Labour
Leave a commentDecember 26, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
Tactical voting has often been seen as a stick to beat First Past the Post with. That people are forced …
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Rochester may go Reckless, but it means very little
Leave a commentNovember 18, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
So this morning the constituents of Rochester and Strood go to the ballot box in a by-election to choose an …
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If Scotland’s polls are right, chaos ensues at Westminster in May
6November 1, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
The political world is agog at Thursday’s poll numbers from Scotland. Commentators are trying to assess whether they are a …
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Winning on immigration will not win elections. Fact.
Leave a commentOctober 21, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
It’s all a bit odd. The Conservatives seem to think that they will win the next election by talking a …
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Have we just discovered that the NHS is a Westminster bubble issue but not a voting issue
Leave a commentOctober 14, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
Amongst the fall-out from the astonishing performance of UKIP on Thursday in the Heywood and Middleton by-election, it is possible …
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Why are the Conservatives so happy about a set of policies that victimise the poorest so much?
Leave a commentOctober 3, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
As the smoke clears from the pep rally that this week’s Conservative party conference basically turned out to be, a …
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The ‘hidden voters’ could make a mockery of the opinion polls in the Scottish referendum
Leave a commentJuly 15, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
Two months before the 2011 Scottish Assembly election, opinion polls put the Labour Party 15% ahead of Alex Salmond’s SNP. …
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Newark by-election result: An ungracious winner, a relieved loser
1June 6, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
So there we go – the Conservatives won the Newark by-election. They retained their 44th safest seat, a seat in …
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Newark by-election: Why does it matter so much to the Conservatives?
Leave a commentJune 4, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
In the 2010 General Election, Patrick Mercer got 54% of the vote in his Newark constituency, winning by over 16,000 …
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UKIP and Local Council election results – what do they mean
Leave a commentMay 23, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith
There is no doubt UKIP has had a great night at the local council elections. There is no surprise that …
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