Tag Archives: SNP

  1. How do the SNP achieve a second independence referendum?

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    December 17, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith

    Whilst it is definitely Scotland’s decision on whether or not to leave the union, it is legally and constitutionally not …
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  2. The Exit Poll drops: What does it mean?

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    December 12, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith

    IF the exit poll is correct, the Conservatives have a stonking majority. Labour have their worst result since 1935. The …
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  3. The Goldblog guide to what to watch for on #election2019 night

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    December 12, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith

    If, like me, you are staying up for election night, it might be useful to know what you are looking …
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  4. Why the SNP might make all the difference

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    November 7, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith

    If the Tories do not win a majority, the SNP will likely be involved in supporting or creating the next …
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  5. Ready, Steady, Vote

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    November 4, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith

    The General Election on December 12th 2019 is arguably the most consequential in many of our lifetimes. The Conservatives are …
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  6. Is Ruth Davidson in the wrong Parliament now?

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    June 15, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    Theresa May would probably not be Prime Minister now if it wasn’t for Ruth Davidson. Jeremy Corbyn might have had …
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  7. #GE2017 chaos: What happens now?

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    June 9, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    This is the third hung Parliament since 1945. It is also the third failed call of a surprise snap election …
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  8. What your choice means at this election

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    June 8, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    I am an unashamed centrist. I vote for what works. It gets me into ‘trouble’ with people who have far …
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  9. Why the Progressive Pact may need to be fact.

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    May 12, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    Two days ago I reported details of a tacit ‘reactionary pact’ in which UKIP voters were defecting to the Tories …
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  10. Scottish #Toryfightback on the cards?

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    May 1, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    Have a look at the charts above. They don’t indicate a political earthqauke, like is predicted in Wales, but there …
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  11. Why is Scotland different?

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    April 21, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    Scotland is a country part in this General Election. The issues that matter there are very different from those that …
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  12. Will we actually have the election on June 8th?

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    April 18, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith

    When Theresa May stepped out today (April 18th) to a lectern in Downing Street to announce she would be seeking …
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  13. Five things that might happen this year in politics 

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    January 3, 2016 by Paul Goldsmith

    Out of the EU, with Scotland out of the UK, Javid PM and Khan London Mayor, Corbyn out and Trump …
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  14. Why new participants in politics need to listen more.

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    September 21, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Speaking this week to the Press Gazette, Ian Hislop, the editor of satirical magazine Private Eye and star of BBC’s …
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  15. First Past the Post – Disproportional Representation or Producer of stable government?

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    May 11, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

     Let’s start with the two graphs above. On the left are the actual seats won. One the right are …
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  16. Why Labour lost

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    May 8, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    I’m sure many people with far more knowledge of these things than me will attempt this over the next few …
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  17. 5am questions- The Lib Dem meltdown and a possible Tory Majority. 

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    May 8, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    I write this just after a massive moment. The Liberal Democrat Business Secretary, Vince Cable, one of the most powerful people …
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  18. YouGov Poll has a different prediction. Sounds more right, but might not be. 

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    May 7, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Just when the Twittersphere was about to go into meltdown with rumours of a Labour coup to get rid of …
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  19. It’s polling day! – Five things to know about today

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    May 7, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    1. Rules for the poll booth – For those of you for whom today is your first opportunity to vote, congratulations, …
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  20. Will the main parties ever come clean about their actual tax and spending plans?

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    April 24, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Yesterday’s election news was dominated for a time by the Institute of Fiscal Studies (an independent think tank aiming to …
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  21. SNP manifesto – the longest ransom note in history

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    April 21, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    So there we have it. The manifesto season has closed with the SNP’s manifesto, launched by the all-conquering Nicola Sturgeon. …
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  22. Why a Conservative / SNP pact after the General a Election is more likely than you think

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    April 20, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Somewhere, deep in Conservative Party headquarters, under some kind of secret codename, and most probably dressed in black, will be …
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  23. How Nicola Sturgeon somehow grabbed victory from the jaws of defeat…for David Cameron

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    April 19, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    The moment the Conservatives were waiting for in the Challengers debate for Opposition leaders came right at the end. Until …
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  24. Lessons from The Godfather for Ed Miliband: Offer the SNP nothing.

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    April 13, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Like the the ‘many’ fellow political obsessives in England, I spent Tuesday evening glued to my IPad as I watched …
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  25. Renewal of Trident is NOT a condition of SNP putting Labour back in No 10

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    April 11, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    “Remember: Ed Miliband stabbed his own brother in the back to become Labour leader. Now he is willing to stab …
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  26. ‘Nikileaks’ case might be the ‘Zinoviev letter’ of our times

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    April 6, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Let’s get something out of the way first. It is possible but highly unlikely that Nicola Sturgeon did say to …
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  27. The leaders’ debate. How they rated. 

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    April 3, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    So that was the mass debate (stop saying it quickly at the back). Seven adults shouting at each other repeating …
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  28. Why abolishing zero hour contracts really would throw the baby out with the bathwater

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    April 2, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Once again the issue of zero hour contracts came to the fore this week as Labour announced restrictions on their …
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  29. Conservatives most seats, coalition impossible. Current poll predictions analysed.

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    March 29, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    You may be confused, given the forecast at the moment is for the Labour and Conaervative share of the vote …
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  30. Nothing can be ruled out when it comes to post-election deals

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    March 28, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

     A few weeks ago, the Conservatives released a poster by their advertising agency containing a large Alex Salmond with Ed …
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  31. Salmond’s honesty gives us a tantalising view into post-election chaos

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    March 26, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    In these days of people complaining that politicians don’t give a straight answer to questions, it has been refreshing to …
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  32. Why the SNP must hope that Labour can form a government without them.

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    March 13, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Sometimes, when the Conservatives want to float a particularly controversial idea, but don’t want to have their fingerprints all over …
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  33. Advice to Labour – leave the SNP alone after the election

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    March 10, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    What does 30 years of having little more to say to an electorate than “We’re not Thatcher, vote for us” …
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  34. Successfully bashing the Conservatives is not necessarily a successful week for Labour

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    February 17, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    At first glance, it looks like Labour had a very good week last week. Starting off by pointing out the …
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  35. Why it makes sense not to include the DUP in the TV Debates

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    February 4, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    It is not hard to see validity in the DUP’s claims for a place in the Party leader debates in …
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  36. The development of a ‘Left-Wing bloc’ could spell curtains for Cameron

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    January 28, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    It must be lonely being David Cameron these days. As the furore over the TV debates show, we are developing …
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  37. Why there is nothing odd about SNP MPs voting on English health laws that involve money

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    January 23, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    It seems that Nicola Sturgeon just has to sneeze these days and Westminster, both politicians and journalists, runs around trying …
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  38. Four possible election outcomes and what they would mean

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    January 10, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Towards the end of last year the pollster Peter Kellner from YouGov set out in The Times four possible results …
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  39. 2015 New Year Politics Prediction….impossible!

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    January 1, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith

    Happy New Year everyone. Welcome to what promises to be one of the most memorable years of politics of our …
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  40. The prospect of Labour winning has Conservatives starting to build up funds for a quick second election

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    December 28, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Some interesting gossip emanating from Conservative HQ is that they have started to solicit donations to fund a second election …
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  41. EVEL is not evil. But it will take time.

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    December 19, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

      In the last few days before the Scottish Independence referendum, Alistair Darling, the leader of the “No” campaign, pleaded …
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  42. Will Jim Murphy save the Labour Party’s hopes of being in government next year?

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    December 15, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Stop most people on the street and ask them to name a single leader of the Scottish Labour Party and …
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  43. The fall in the oil price shows that sometimes “it’s the politics, stupid”

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    December 11, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    The oil price has halved over the past year. It is now at $72 a barrel having been up around …
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  44. We need to pass every policy announcement from now on through the ‘Coalition lens’

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    December 7, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Bearing in mind their financial need to get things right, it is interesting to see that there isn’t a single …
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  45. The crack up of the Lib Dem vote is why UKIP and SNP will NOT want to go into government

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    November 27, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    It was, almost, apocalypse for the Liberal Democrats in Rochester and Strood. Geoff Juby, their candidate in the by-election, got …
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  46. “The Nationalist” – a first pro-independence Scottish newspaper…ready for the next referendum?

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    November 23, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    One of the most important complaints that Alex Salmond and the SNP had about the run up to the referendum …
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  47. Now we know how much the SNP want a Tory government in the 2015 General election

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    November 19, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    So, now we know how desperately the SNP want the Conservatives to hold the balance of power at the next …
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  48. Scottish Labour leadership contest – why it really matters to the rest of the UK

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    November 7, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    Nominations have closed in Scotland for the leadership of the Scottish Labour Party. You may think that this has nothing …
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  49. If Scotland’s polls are right, chaos ensues at Westminster in May

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    November 1, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    The political world is agog at Thursday’s poll numbers from Scotland. Commentators are trying to assess whether they are a …
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  50. Lamont’s resignation is another domino to fall as two-party politics comes to an end

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    October 27, 2014 by Paul Goldsmith

    I would imagine you might be confused as to why the UK press are spending time reporting on what might …
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