Tag Archives: CONSERVATIVES
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How do the SNP achieve a second independence referendum?
Leave a commentDecember 17, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
Whilst it is definitely Scotland’s decision on whether or not to leave the union, it is legally and constitutionally not …
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Winning in Putney and losing in Durham North West sums up the failures of Labour’ campaign.
1December 13, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
Among the many results in this election that showed how Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn have redrawn the electoral landscape …
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How the Remain Alliance failed whilst the Leave Alliance won
Leave a commentDecember 13, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
From the start of the election campaign, there was a concerted attempt to form a ‘Remain Alliance’, encompassing the Liberal …
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How a large Boris Johnson majority may maybe make his political programme less extreme.
Leave a commentDecember 13, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
A large majority means a few things. It puts Boris Johnson in an extremely strong position with his party and …
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The Exit Poll drops: What does it mean?
Leave a commentDecember 12, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
IF the exit poll is correct, the Conservatives have a stonking majority. Labour have their worst result since 1935. The …
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The Goldblog guide to what to watch for on #election2019 night
Leave a commentDecember 12, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
If, like me, you are staying up for election night, it might be useful to know what you are looking …
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The Goldblog guide to whom you should vote for at #election2019 if you are wavering
4December 11, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
Here is my advice for 10 groups of wavering voters not sure what to do. Do leave me a comment …
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What’s happened to the Brexit Party in #election2019 shows how our electoral system is undemocratic and unrepresentative and should change
2December 10, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
The Brexit Party won the last national election but is effectively unable to compete in this General Election. For this, …
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How the YouGov MRP poll changed this election
Leave a commentDecember 9, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
The YouGov MRP poll released two weeks ago appears to have massively influenced the election campaign. It may have led …
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Explaining Labour’s immigration confusion
Leave a commentNovember 29, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
In the absence of a sensible debate about immigration, the Tories having a policy that might control it is attracting …
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Why the #Brexit deal is so important to #election2019
Leave a commentNovember 28, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
Going into an election in which the Tories can tell potential Brexit Party voters they have a deal to leave …
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Why the importance of this Conservative manifesto is that it is the only one likely to be delivered
Leave a commentNovember 27, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
I’ve read the manifestos so you don’t have to. As the only political party with a realistic chance of getting …
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The Cost of Corbyn – the lies and false assumptions prove the @Conservatives are scared
1November 14, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
The Conservative Party’s assessment of Labour’s spending plans betray a massive lack of confidence in themselves. They are full of …
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What should the Brexit Party do?
Leave a commentNovember 8, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
There is no easy answer for Nigel Farage and his Brexit Party in this election, because in trying to force …
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Ready, Steady, Vote
3November 4, 2019 by Paul Goldsmith
The General Election on December 12th 2019 is arguably the most consequential in many of our lifetimes. The Conservatives are …
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Why Carillion may be the final death knell for an entire economic model
5January 22, 2018 by Paul Goldsmith
You know someone’s lost the argument by the arguments they use. In this political age it is either when they …
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Is it time for Theresa May to call the DUP’s bluff on Brexit?
2December 5, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
In 1968, Labour Prime Minister Harold Wilson warned the trade unions that if they didn’t accept his relatively modest changes …
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Universal Credit – a professional idea implemented by amateurs
1November 9, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Sometimes it is important to differentiate between an bad policy and incompetent implementation. Universal credit gets a bad rap, but …
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A new political party doesn’t have to win seats in Parliament to be successful
Leave a commentSeptember 18, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
During the August political news ‘silly-season’, James Chapman, former Chief of Staff to Brexit Secretary David Davis, started a one-man …
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Explaining Moggmentum
1August 7, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
It shouldn’t really be a possibility. As a response to the rise of Jeremy Corbyn and his anti-elitism and screeds …
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Grenfell Tower: What is ‘Social Murder’?
Leave a commentJuly 16, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
On the Andrew Marr Show this morning Labour Chancellor John McDonnell was asked whether he was prepared to take back …
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Which is more virtuous or effective: Paying Tax or Giving to Charity?
Leave a commentJuly 4, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Rather excitingly, we here at Goldblog Towers received a packed mailbag of responses to yesterday’s blog, particularly the final question …
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So, are Tories wicked, wrong, or neither?
2July 3, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
In a very interesting article in the Sunday Times, Dominic Lawson opens with a tweet from Marcus Chown, who has …
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The Conservatives need to step back and think again about their future leader
2June 26, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
There’s something going a bit wrong with the discussions taking place around the leadership of the Conservative Party. People are …
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This election was about education too
Leave a commentJune 22, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Lots of focus has been put on the young vote and the old vote. The older vote might have been …
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Why Theresa May had little choice but to deal with the DUP
Leave a commentJune 12, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
There’s been a lot of hot air expressed since the election about the Conservatives’ tie up with the Democratic Unionist …
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The audacity of hope vs the cowardice of fear
4June 11, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
The 2017 General Election campaign involved the rejection of Theresa’s May view of what 21st century Toryism should be. It …
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What does the exit poll mean?
2June 8, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Exit polls have been roughly right since 1992. So the one we have just seen could be close to the …
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Conservative manifesto – May tries to get UK moving ‘forward together’ without committing to how
Leave a commentMay 19, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Well, this was the big one. This is the only manifesto that will have to be delivered. Therefore, there can …
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How Labour’s 97 hamstringing should be a lesson to May
Leave a commentMay 13, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
During the course of this election I have referred a few times to the importance of Theresa May not tying …
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UKIP haven’t died. They’ve won.
Leave a commentMay 10, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
In amongst the possibly genuinely held joy of many on the centre and left of politics at the fall of …
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What the council elections mean for #ge2017
Leave a commentMay 6, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Tom Newton Dunn, Political Editor of The Sun, reported on Thursday that a Senior Tory had told him that he …
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Scottish #Toryfightback on the cards?
Leave a commentMay 1, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Have a look at the charts above. They don’t indicate a political earthqauke, like is predicted in Wales, but there …
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Why is Scotland different?
1April 21, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
Scotland is a country part in this General Election. The issues that matter there are very different from those that …
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Six reasons why the 2017 General Election is so hard to predict
Leave a commentApril 20, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
So, the vote to overturn the Fixed Term Parliament Act and call a General Election passed with barely a murmur …
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Four plus two reasons why Theresa May wants to hold the election on 8th June
2April 19, 2017 by Paul Goldsmith
There are many good political and constitutional reasons for Theresa May to have an election right now. She was always …
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The ‘Progressive Democrats’ – a new Political Party that might just get us out of this mess
1June 27, 2016 by Paul Goldsmith
Sometimes, there’s an idea whose time has come. That time is now, and the idea is a new Political Party …
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Why the EU referendum campaign needs to be SEEN to be fair. Not just fair.
Leave a commentJanuary 12, 2016 by Paul Goldsmith
David Cameron’s behaviour over the EU Referendum could lead to him leaving behind the UK still in Europe but his …
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Why tax credit reforms are a “jobs penalty” on the very people the Conservatives affect to want to help.
4October 18, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
The row about the Conservatives’ reforms to tax credit isn’t about politics. It’s not even really about economics. It is …
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A government imposing austerity backed by 24% of the electorate is a legitimate as 250,000 people marching against it
Leave a commentJune 24, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Last weekend (20th June) there was an anti-austerity march in Central London. It was reported variously that 250,000 people …
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How Labour should respond to Osborne’s plan to legislate for budget surpluses during growth
1June 11, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Given I have been stating for a while now that Labour should not have arrived at the 2008 recession, …
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Why “Right-to-buy” Housing Association properties will never happen
2June 1, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
I would have loved to have seen the Conservatives’ manifesto planning whiteboard. I can imagine there were quote a few …
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EU referendum – the importance of the question
Leave a commentMay 29, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
It would be easy to think that words don’t matter. But they do in the case of a referendum. …
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Interesting initial statistics on voting behaviour at the 2015 General Election
Leave a commentMay 18, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Using Lord Ashcroft’s post-election polling and comparing with previous voting statistics gives us some interesting findings. Summary Conservatives’ previously large …
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Why we are unlikely to get a change in election system
2May 17, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
The problems with trying to get a referendum on changing the election system (the way in which votes are …
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First Past the Post – Disproportional Representation or Producer of stable government?
Leave a commentMay 11, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Let’s start with the two graphs above. On the left are the actual seats won. One the right are …
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Why Labour lost
5May 8, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
I’m sure many people with far more knowledge of these things than me will attempt this over the next few …
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The day Esther McVey lost her seat (clue, it wasn’t today)
Leave a commentMay 8, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
Esther McVey didn’t lose her Wirral West seat today, Esther McVey lost her Wirral West seat on December 18th 2013. …
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5am questions- The Lib Dem meltdown and a possible Tory Majority.
Leave a commentMay 8, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
I write this just after a massive moment. The Liberal Democrat Business Secretary, Vince Cable, one of the most powerful people …
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Exit Poll: If it is right we are in for a massive shock.
Leave a commentMay 7, 2015 by Paul Goldsmith
If the exit poll that has just been announced is right, we are heading for a Conservative Government. The exit …
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